Smart machines to enter mainstream adoption by 2021, says Gartner

Smart machines will enter mainstream adoption by 2021, with 30% adoption by large companies, according to Gartner, Inc.

Technologies including cognitive computing, artificial intelligence (AI), intelligent automation, machine learning and deep learning fall under the umbrella term for smart machines.

“The use of smart machines by enterprises can be transformative and disruptive. Smart machines will profoundly change the way work is done and how value is created. From dynamic pricing models and fraud detection, to predictive policing and robotics, smart machines have broad applicability in all industries,” said Susan Tan, research vice president at Gartner. “For service providers, smart machines represent opportunities to help enterprises assess, select, implement, change and adapt talent, and for IT and business processes, the opportunity to successfully adopt smart machines for business benefits.”

The opportunity for consulting and system integration (C&SI) services will range from advising organisations to help them sort through the hype to helping with strategic design,training of the smart machines, deployment and integration to expansion and ongoing refinement. These opportunities will help drive spending on smart machine C&SI services from US$451 million in 2016 to nearly $29 billion in 2021 (see Table 1).

Table 1

Device Type201620172018201920202021
Consulting36016483616572677128688
Implementation90706241157261156820273
Total45123546027114531928028961

Source: Gartner (December 2016)

The spectrum of subtechnologies within smart machines will be adopted at different speeds and timings, with the majority of smart technologies being mainstream adopted in the 2020 through 2025 time frame. Organisations’ investments into smart machines will span more than a decade, implying that the smart machine C&SI service market will be a long-term one.

Susan Tan, research vice president at Gartner
Susan Tan, research vice president at Gartner

“Over time, the increased C&SI opportunity created by the growing number of companies implementing more complex smart machine programmes is expected to be counter-balanced by the a reduction in costs of adoption, as every subsequent adoption of the same smart machine solution will be less expensive and faster,” said Ms Tan. “In the long term (about 10 years), smart machines will be an integral set of tools in the toolkit of C&SI service providers and infused into all next-generation services offerings.”

Gartner, Inc is an information technology research and advisory company. Its clients can read more detailed analysis in the report “Smart Machines: Consulting and System Integration Services Market Forecast and Opportunities.”

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