Is an age of driverless cars really on our horizon?


Earlier this year, Cisco set out a number of predictions for “connectedness” in the automotive sector: Namely, it said the horizon for driverless cars is likely to be 5–7 years, as by then it will cost more for us to drive our cars than to let them drive us. Cisco also noted that traffic management will emerge as a primary “killer app” for the Internet-of-Things.

We have likewise touched on traffic management concepts in these pages and would tend to concur that, indeed, roadway applications are very ripe for the picking as an Internet-of-Things venture, if for no other reason than to improve the quality of life for daily commuters. However, when it comes to the tipping point of driverless cars becoming a mainstream reality due to cost, we at KORE would choose to protract the timetable a bit. Even with the technologies bearing down fast that would shore it up, it still may end up being farther away than cost considerations alone would lead us to believe.

Alex Brisbourne
Alex Brisbourne

To be sure, the “Driverless Car” as a concept has been with us since at least 1970, commensurate with the opening of Epcot Center in Orlando, Fla. Among those initial ideas, the notion was essentially a “fly by wire” approach, where the vehicle would follow unseen tracks using magnetic or induction technologies. These approaches are now commonplace in large industrial logistics and manufacturing environments, where sleds of parts move from one place to another on defined routes.

We also now see, essentially, pilotless aircraft; cockpits generally manage almost all matters of flight from origin to destination – EXCEPT for close contact, on-the-ground movements. In the analogous driverless car scenario, recent telematics advances are certainly making great strides in controlling open road driving – lane departure, active radar cruising, automatic stopping and even GPS linked to maps for cornering. These are huge leaps forward, but they are open-road systems, where little supporting infrastructure is needed or exists. Close contact, on-the-ground movements do and will continue to require humans at the controls.

So, while many building blocks are already in place in the automobile to make it “driverless,” in order to really get to a true, self-driving environment, we still have to establish (1) substantially more vehicle-to-vehicle as well as vehicle-to-infrastructure communication; (2) substantial leaps forward on security of these communications to prevent intrusion; (3) notable regulatory changes for liability, insurance, and the like; (4) wholesale human behavioural change for adoption and (5) notable investment in the fixed infrastructure for sensors, with proper hand-offs, standardised interfaces and many further considerations to be mapped.

Even then, we must bear in mind that the average age of on-road automobiles in the USA hovers around 11 years, so these systems will only be effective for a tiny proportion of the population as a whole. We’re not going to retrofit all those cars, so it becomes as much a question then of economics as it is of technology. Who is going to pay for that infrastructure, what are the tangible benefits to be realised, and when?

We do of course believe that the many “Driver Assistance” sensing and in-cabin infotainment applications will continue to evolve: these are technological increments and are important differentiators for the auto industry. Tesla is already changing the perception that a car can be far closer to a computer on wheels than the mechanized analog system it’s always been. But bridging this to an unaided, driverless experience is not 5 years – maybe not even 15 years – away (a fact that may actually be comforting to the petrol heads among us!).


Watersight adds global companies to the AquaRing water monitoring pilot program

Posted on: November 29, 2022

Ness Ziona, Israel – Watersight, a watertech joint venture company of MEKOROT, Israel’s national water company, and Newsight Imaging Ltd., a technology company that specialises in advanced CMOS image sensors for spectral analysis and machine vision, announced the start of the field test at MEKOROT’s water monitoring facility in northern Israel alongside the addition of

Read more

Arduino debuts IoT Bundle Kit with three cloud-connected projects

Posted on: November 29, 2022

Arduino has launched IoT Bundle – a kit that provides all the hardware, software, and components needed to build own connected devices.

Read more

The IoT Adoption Boom – Everything You Need to Know

Posted on: September 28, 2022

In an age when we seem to go through technology boom after technology boom, it’s hard to imagine one sticking out. However, IoT adoption, or the Internet of Things adoption, is leading the charge to dominate the next decade’s discussion around business IT. Below, we’ll discuss the current boom, what’s driving it, where it’s going,

Read more

9 IoT applications that will change everything

Posted on: September 1, 2021

Whether you are a future-minded CEO, tech-driven CEO or IT leader, you’ve come across the term IoT before. It’s often used alongside superlatives regarding how it will revolutionize the way you work, play, and live. But is it just another buzzword, or is it the as-promised technological holy grail? The truth is that Internet of

Read more

Which IoT Platform 2021? IoT Now Enterprise Buyers’ Guide

Posted on: August 30, 2021

There are several different parts in a complete IoT solution, all of which must work together to get the result needed, write IoT Now Enterprise Buyers’ Guide – Which IoT Platform 2021? authors Robin Duke-Woolley, the CEO and Bill Ingle, a senior analyst, at Beecham Research. Figure 1 shows these parts and, although not all

Read more

CAT-M1 vs NB-IoT – examining the real differences

Posted on: June 21, 2021

As industry players look to provide the next generation of IoT connectivity, two different standards have emerged under release 13 of 3GPP – CAT-M1 and NB-IoT.

Read more

IoT and home automation: What does the future hold?

Posted on: June 10, 2020

Once a dream, home automation using iot is slowly but steadily becoming a part of daily lives around the world. In fact, it is believed that the global market for smart home automation will reach $40 billion by 2020.

Read more

5 challenges still facing the Internet of Things

Posted on: June 3, 2020

The Internet of Things (IoT) has quickly become a huge part of how people live, communicate and do business. All around the world, web-enabled devices are turning our world into a more switched-on place to live.

Read more

What is IoT?

Posted on: July 7, 2019

What is IoT Data as a new oil IoT connectivity What is IoT video So what’s IoT? The phrase ‘Internet of Things’ (IoT) is officially everywhere. It constantly shows up in my Google news feed, the weekend tech supplements are waxing lyrical about it and the volume of marketing emails I receive advertising ‘smart, connected

Read more